AMELIA, POPPY (2026) ANALISIS PENGARUH LUAS LAHAN PRODUKTIF, VOLUME PRODUKSI, KURS, DAN HARGA INTERNASIONAL TERHADAP VOLUME EKSPOR KARET ALAM KERING INDONESIA PERIODE 2015-2024. S1 thesis, UNIVERSITAS SULTAN AGENG TIRTAYASA.
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Abstract
This research investigates the impact of productive land area, production volume, rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar, and international prices on Indonesia's dry natural rubber export volume for the period 2015–2024. Secondary data were obtained from the Central Statistics Agency, the Ministry of Agriculture, and Bank Indonesia. The analysis was conducted using multiple linear regression, supported by classical assumption tests and hypothesis testing to ensure the model's validity. The partial analysis indicates that productive land area, exchange rate, and international prices have a negative but statistically insignificant impact on export volume, whereas production volume has a positive and significant effect, highlighting that increased output can meaningfully enhance exports. Simultaneously, all four independent variables significantly influence export volume, as indicated by an Fvalue of 97,446; which exceeds the Ftable value of 5,19; with a significance level of 0,000 below 0,05. An R² of 0,987 indicates that 98.7% of the variation in export volume is explained by these factors. These results emphasize the importance of improving production efficiency and implementing economic stabilization policies to strengthen the global competitiveness of Indonesia's rubber exports.
| Item Type: | Thesis (S1) | |||||||||
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| Additional Information: | Penelitian ini mengkaji dampak luas lahan produktif, volume produksi, nilai tukar rupiah terhadap dolar AS, dan harga internasional terhadap volume ekspor karet alam kering Indonesia untuk periode 2015–2024. Data sekunder diperoleh dari Badan Pusat Statistik, Kementerian Pertanian, dan Bank Indonesia. Analisis dilakukan menggunakan regresi linier berganda, didukung oleh uji asumsi klasik dan uji hipotesis untuk memastikan validitas model. Analisis parsial menunjukkan bahwa luas lahan produktif, nilai tukar, dan harga internasional memiliki dampak negatif namun tidak signifikan secara statistik terhadap volume ekspor, sedangkan volume produksi memiliki dampak positif dan signifikan, menyoroti bahwa peningkatan output dapat secara berarti meningkatkan ekspor. Secara simultan, keempat variabel independen secara signifikan mempengaruhi volume ekspor, sebagaimana ditunjukkan oleh nilai F sebesar 97,446; yang melebihi nilai F tabel sebesar 5,19; dengan tingkat signifikansi 0,000 di bawah 0,05. Nilai R² sebesar 0,987 menunjukkan bahwa 98,7% variasi volume ekspor dijelaskan oleh faktor-faktor ini. Hasil ini menekankan pentingnya meningkatkan efisiensi produksi dan menerapkan kebijakan stabilisasi ekonomi untuk memperkuat daya saing global ekspor karet Indonesia. | |||||||||
| Subjects: | S Agriculture > S Agriculture (General) | |||||||||
| Divisions: | 04-Fakultas Pertanian 04-Fakultas Pertanian > 54201-Program Studi Agribisnis |
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| Depositing User: | Mrs. Poppy Amelia | |||||||||
| Date Deposited: | 21 Jan 2026 02:21 | |||||||||
| Last Modified: | 21 Jan 2026 02:21 | |||||||||
| URI: | http://eprints.untirta.ac.id/id/eprint/57275 |
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