INFLASI DI ASEAN-5: PENGARUH FAKTOR EKSTERNAL DAN INSTRUMEN KEBIJAKAN MONETER

WIBAWA, BINTANG PUTRA (2025) INFLASI DI ASEAN-5: PENGARUH FAKTOR EKSTERNAL DAN INSTRUMEN KEBIJAKAN MONETER. S1 thesis, UNIVERSITAS SULTAN AGENG TIRTAYASA.

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Abstract

Inflation is a phenomenon that can disrupt the economy in every country. This study analyzes the factors affecting inflation in ASEAN-5 countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Philippines, and Singapore), which are mostly developing countries with high levels of trade openness and active monetary policies in controlling inflation. This research uses data from the period 2006-2023 sourced from the World Bank, Federal Reserve Bank (FRED), and the central banks of respective countries, employing panel data analysis method using the Common Effect Model. Based on the research results, partially trade openness, oil prices, and interest rates have a significant positive effect on inflation, while exchange rates do not have a significant effect on inflation. Simultaneously, the results show that trade openness, oil prices, interest rates, and exchange rates have a significant effect on inflation in ASEAN-5 countries.

Item Type:

Thesis (S1)

Contributors:

Contribution	Contributors	NIP/NIM
Thesis advisor	SUHENDRA, INDRA	197702172008011016
Thesis advisor	HARAHAP, MUHAMMAD NASIM	19680718202411001

Additional Information:

Inflasi menjadi fenomena yang dapat mengganggu perekonomian di setiap negara. Penelitian ini menganalisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi inflasi di negara ASEAN-5 (Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Filipina, dan Singapura) yang sebagian besar merupakan negara berkembang dengan tingkat keterbukaan perdagangan yang besar dan memiliki kebijakan moneter aktif dalam mengendalikan inflasi. Penelitian ini menggunakan data periode tahun 2006-2023 yang bersumber dari World Bank, Federal Reserve Bank (FRED), dan bank sentral masing-masing negara dengan metode analisis data panel menggunakan Common Effect Model. Berdasarkan hasil penelitian, secara parsial keterbukaan perdagangan, harga minyak, dan suku bunga berpengaruh signifikan positif terhadap inflasi, sedangkan nilai tukar tidak berpengaruh secara signifikan terhadap inflasi. Secara simultan menunjukkan bahwa keterbukaan perdagangan, harga minyak, suku bunga, dan nilai tukar berpengaruh signifikan terhadap inflasi di negara-negara ASEAN-5.

Uncontrolled Keywords:

Oil Prices, Inflation, Trade Openness, Exchange Rates, Interest Rates Harga Minyak, Inflasi, Keterbukaan Perdagangan, Nilai Tukar, Suku Bunga

Subjects:

H Social Sciences > H Social Sciences (General)
H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory

Divisions:

05-Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis
05-Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis > 60201-Program Sarjana Ilmu Ekonomi Pembangunan

Depositing User:

Bintang Putra Wibawa

Date Deposited:

15 Aug 2025 01:55

Last Modified:

15 Aug 2025 01:55

URI:

http://eprints.untirta.ac.id/id/eprint/51971

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