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PENGARUH FINANCIAL STRESS INDEX, COUNTRY RISK, DAN KEBIJAKAN MONETER TERHADAP STOCK MARKET DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG ASEAN

Pranoto, Ario Khasbiyal Ghofur (2024) PENGARUH FINANCIAL STRESS INDEX, COUNTRY RISK, DAN KEBIJAKAN MONETER TERHADAP STOCK MARKET DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG ASEAN. S1 thesis, UNIVERSITAS SULTAN AGENG TIRTAYASA.

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Abstract

The Stock Market is part of the financial system where long-term financial instruments such as stocks, bonds, and other securities are traded. The purpose of this study was to analyze the effect of 1) Financial Stress Index, 2) Country Risk, 3) Interest Rate, 4) Exchange Rate, and 5) Inflation on Stock Market in ASEAN developing countries. This study covers 4 ASEAN countries consisting of the Philippines, Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand. This study uses panel data with the Pooled Mean Group (PMG) method. The data used in the study came from the World Bank, IMF, ADB and BIS (Bank for International Settlements). Indicators that affect each variable vary from one country to another, so the factors considered are different in each country. The results of this study indicate that in the short-term period Country Risk, Interest Rate Exchange Rate, and Inflation have no effect on the Stock Market. In contrast, the Financial Stress Index has a significant effect on the Stock Market in the short term. Meanwhile, in the long term, the FSI, Country Risk, Interest Rate, and Inflation variables have a significant negative effect on the Stock Market, while the Exchange Rate variable has a significant positive effect.

Item Type: Thesis (S1)
Contributors:
ContributionContributorsNIP/NIM
Thesis advisorSalim, Agus196308311988121001
Thesis advisorZahara, Vadilla Mutia199106272019032023
Additional Information: Pasar Modal merupakan bagian dari sistem keuangan dimana instrumen keuangan jangka panjang seperti saham, obligasi, dan sekuritas lainnya diperjualbelikan. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk menganalisis pengaruh 1) Financial Stress Index, 2) Country Risk, 3) Suku bunga, 4) Nilai Tukar, dan 5) Inflasi terhadap Stock Market di negara berkembang ASEAN. Penelitian ini mencakup 4 negara ASEAN yang terdiri dari Filipina, Indonesia, Malaysia, dan Thailand. Penelitian ini menggunakan data panel dengan metode Pooled Mean Group (PMG). Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian berasal dari World Bank, IMF, ADB dan BIS (Bank for International Settlements). Indikator yang mempengaruhi setiap variabel berbeda-beda antara satu negara dengan negara lainnya, sehingga faktor-faktor yang dipertimbangkan berbeda di setiap negara. Hasil dari penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa dalam periode jangka pendek Country Risk, Suku Bunga Nilai Tukar, dan Inflasi tidak berpengaruh terhadap Stock Market. Sebaliknya, Financial Stress Index berpengaruh signifikan terhadap Pasar Saham dalam jangka pendek. Sedangkan dalam jangka panjang variabel FSI, Country Risk, Suku Bunga, dan Inflasi berpengaruh negatif signifikan terhadap Stock Market, sementara variabel Nilai Tukar berpengaruh positif signifikan.
Uncontrolled Keywords: Stock Market, Financial Stress Index, Country Risk, Interest Rate, Exchange Rate, and Inflation, Pooled Mean Group Stock Market, Financial Stress Index, Country Risk, Suku Bunga, Nilai Tukar, dan Inflasi, Pooled Mean Group
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
Divisions: 05-Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis
05-Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis > 60201-Program Sarjana Ilmu Ekonomi Pembangunan
Depositing User: Unnamed user with email [email protected]
Date Deposited: 09 May 2025 09:46
Last Modified: 09 May 2025 09:46
URI: http://eprints.untirta.ac.id/id/eprint/48656

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