Syafirah, Syafirah (2024) ANALISIS PENGARUH EFEKTIVITAS KEBIJAKAN FISKAL TERHADAP INFLASI DALAM INFLATION TARGETING FRAMEWORK DI INDONESIA TAHUN 1992-2021. S1 thesis, UNIVERSITAS SULTAN AGENG TIRTAYASA.
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Abstract
This study analyzes the response and influence of the effectiveness of fiscal policy on Inflation in the application of the Inflation Targeting Framework observation conducted in the State of Indonesia from 1992 to 2021. The data used is time series data. With the Vector Error Corection Model (VECM) analysis method, then the results are obtained by comparing the time lag, the effect of each variable and the shock variables between countries to determine whether or not fiscal policy is effective on Inflation in each country. The results show that there is a positive and significant influence in the long run on the variables of fiscal balance, government debt, interest rates and economic growth. While for government expenditure and exchange rate variables there is no positive (negative) influence in the long run. The response obtained from an inflation shock is that interest rates, economic growth and exchange rates respond positively. Meanwhile, fiscal balance, government debt, and government expenditure respond negatively.
| Item Type: | Thesis (S1) | |||||||||
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| Additional Information: | Penelitian ini menganalisis respon dan pengaruh efektivitas kebijakan fiskal terhadap Inflasi dalam penerapan Inflation Targeting Framework observasi dilakukan di Negara Indonesia dari Tahun1992 hingga Tahun 2021. Data yang digunakan adalah data time series. Dengan metode analisis Vector Error Corection Model (VECM), kemudian hasilnya diperoleh dengan perbandingan time lag, pengaruh setiap variabel dan shock variabel antar negara untuk mengetahui efektif atau tidaknya kebijakan fiskal terhadap Inflasi di masing-masing negara. Hasilnya menunjukkan bahwa terdapat pengaruh positif dan signifikan dalam jangka panjang pada variabel keseimbangan fiskal, utang pemerintah, suku bunga dan pertumbuhan ekonomi. Sedangkan untuk variabel pengeluaran pemerintah dan nilai tukar tidak terdapat pengaruh positif (negatif) dalam jangka panjang. Respon yang didapat dari adanya shock inflasi adalah suku bunga, pertumbuhan ekonomi dan nilai tukar merespon positif. Sedangkan untuk keseimbangan fiskal, utang pemerintah, dan pengeluaran pemerintah direspon negatif. | |||||||||
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | Inflation, Fiscal Balance, Government Debt, Government Expenditure, Interest Rate, Economic Growth, Exchange Rate, VECM Inflasi, Keseimbangan Fiskal, Utang Pemerintah, Pengeluaran Pemerintah, Suku Bunga, Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Nilai Tukar VECM. | |||||||||
| Subjects: | H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions |
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| Divisions: | 05-Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis 05-Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis > 60201-Program Sarjana Ilmu Ekonomi Pembangunan |
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| Depositing User: | Syafirah Ny Syafirah | |||||||||
| Date Deposited: | 08 Apr 2025 06:18 | |||||||||
| Last Modified: | 08 Apr 2025 06:18 | |||||||||
| URI: | http://eprints.untirta.ac.id/id/eprint/48114 |
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