Amiroh, Amiroh (2024) ANALISIS PENGARUH CADANGAN DEVISA, NILAI TUKAR, INFLASI DAN PDB TERHADAP IMPOR BARANG KONSUMSI DI INDONESIA DAN THAILAND. S1 thesis, UNIVERSITAS SULTAN AGENG TIRTAYSA.
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Abstract
This research was conducted to determine the influence of foreign exchange reserves, exchange rates, inflation and GDP variables on imports of consumer goods in Indonesia and Thailand. This research uses the Vactor error correction model (VECM) method for the period 2012Q1 – 2023Q4. The results obtained are that in the short term in Indonesia the variables of foreign exchange reserves and the exchange rate have no effect on imports of consumer goods, and the inflation and GDP variables have an effect on imports of consumer goods in Indonesia, whereas in Thailand in the short term only the inflation variable has an effect on imports of goods. consumption, for the variables foreign exchange reserves, exchange rate and GDP have no effect. In the long term in Indonesia, only the GDP variable has an influence. The variables of foreign exchange reserves, exchange rates and inflation have no effect on imports of consumer goods in Indonesia. Meanwhile, in Thailand, all variables influence imports of consumer goods. The response of imports of consumer goods to shocks from the variables of foreign exchange reserves, exchange rates, inflation and GDP fluctuates greatly in each period.
| Item Type: | Thesis (S1) | |||||||||
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| Additional Information: | Penelitian ini dilakukan untuk mengetahui pengaruh dari variabel cadangan devisa, nilai tukar, inflasi, dan pdb terhadap impor barang konsumsi di negara Indonesia dan Thailand. Pada penelitian ini menggunakan metode Vactor eror correction model (VECM) dengan periode 2012Q1 – 2023Q4. Hasil yang didapat bahwa pada jangka pendek di Indonesia variabel cadangan devisa dan nilai tukar tidak berpengaruh terhadap impor barang konsumsi, dan variabel inflasi dan PDB berpengaruh terhdap impor barang konsumsi di Indonesia, sedangkan di negara Thailand pada jangka pendek hanya variabel inflasi yang berpengaruh terhadap impor barang konsumsi, untuk variabel cadangan devisa, nilai tukar, dan PDB tidak berpengaruh. Untuk jangka panjang di Indonesia hanya variabel PDB yang berpengaruh. Variabel cadangan devisa, nilai tukar, dan inflasi tidak berpengaruh terhadap impor barang konsumsi di Indonesia. Sedangakan di negara Thailand seluruh variabel berpengaruh terhadap impor barang konsumsi. Respon impor barang konsumsi terhadap guncangan dari variabel cadangan devisa, nilai tukar, inflasi dan PDB sangat berfluktuatif pada setiap periodenya. | |||||||||
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | Imports of consumer goods, foreign exchange reserves, exchange rate, inflation, GDP, VECM. Impor barang konsumsi, cadangan devisa, nilai tukar, inflasi, PDB,VECM | |||||||||
| Subjects: | H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory | |||||||||
| Divisions: | 05-Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis 05-Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis > 60201-Program Sarjana Ilmu Ekonomi Pembangunan |
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| Depositing User: | Mrs. Amiroh Amiroh | |||||||||
| Date Deposited: | 05 Sep 2024 09:59 | |||||||||
| Last Modified: | 05 Sep 2024 09:59 | |||||||||
| URI: | http://eprints.untirta.ac.id/id/eprint/41559 |
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