Nirmalasari, Nyimas (2024) ANALISIS PENGARUH FAKTOR INTERNAL DAN FAKTOR EKSTERNAL TERHADAP NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH PERIODE JANUARI 2018-DESEMBER 2022. S1 thesis, UNIVERSITAS SULTAN AGENG TIRTAYASA.
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Abstract
This research aims to determine an influence and changes of internal factors and external factors which include money supply, BI rate interest rate, trade balance, federal fund rate interest rate and inflation on the rupiah exchange rate in Indonesia for the period January 2018 to December 2022 in the period short and long term. The research method used is the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL). Based on the test results of testing the optimal ARDL model which was produced with a lag optimization pattern, namely (1,0,0,0,1,0) the partial test result in the research can be concluded that the money supply and the federal funds rate have an effect on the Rupiah/USD exchange rate. Meanwhile, the BI rate interest rate variabel, trade balance and inflation in the United States have no effect on the Rupiah/US dollar exchange rate.
| Item Type: | Thesis (S1) | |||||||||
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| Additional Information: | Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh serta perubahan dari faktor internal dan faktor eksternal yang mencakup jumlah uang beredar, suku bunga BI rate, neraca perdagangan, suku bunga federal fund rate dan inflasi terhadap nilai tukar rupiah di Indonesia periode Januari 2018 sampai dengan Desember 2022 dalam jangka pendek dan jangka panjang. Metode penelitian yang digunakan adalah metode Autoregressive Bistributed Lag (ARDL). Berdasarkan hasil pengujian model optimal ARDL yang dihasilkan dengan pola optimasi lag yaitu (1,0,0,0,1,0) maka hasil uji parsial dalam penelitian dapat disimpulkan bahwa jumlah uang beredar dan suku bunga federal fund rate berpengaruh terhadap nilai tukar Rupiah/US dollar. Sedangkan untuk variabel suku bunga BI Rate, neraca perdagangan dan inflasi di Amerika Serikat tidak berpengaruh terhadap nilai tukar rupiah/US dollar. | |||||||||
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | Exchange rate, money supply, BI rate, trade balance, federal fund rate, inflation, ARDL. Nilai tukar, jumlah uang beredar, bi rate, neraca perdagangan, federal fund rate, inflasi, ARDL. | |||||||||
| Subjects: | H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory | |||||||||
| Divisions: | 05-Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis 05-Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis > 60201-Program Sarjana Ilmu Ekonomi Pembangunan |
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| Depositing User: | Nyimas Nirmalasari | |||||||||
| Date Deposited: | 06 Jun 2024 14:39 | |||||||||
| Last Modified: | 07 Jun 2024 11:46 | |||||||||
| URI: | http://eprints.untirta.ac.id/id/eprint/35949 |
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