RIA RAHYUNANDA, FRISKA (2023) FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI CADANGAN DEVISA DI INDONESIA. S1 thesis, UNIVERSITAS SULTAN AGENG TIRTAYASA.
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Abstract
Foreign exchange reserves are a source of financing in conducting international transactions. Foreign exchange reserves can be used as positive sentiment in the event of a crisis to hold funds out. The loss of currency reserves causes a decrease in investor confidence, thereby reducing the level of investment in the economy. This study aims to analyze the influence of factors that affect foreign exchange reserves in Indonesia, including exports, inflation, and foreign investment. The method used is Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL). The estimated model obtained is the time series in this study is secondary. Based on the test, simultaneously found three independent variables that have a significant effect on foreign exchange reserves in Indonesia. Partially, exports and foreign investment have a positive and significant effect on foreign exchange reserves. Meanwhile, inflation has a negative and insignificant effect on foreign exchange reserves. Thus, the solution that can be done is to increase the amount of its foreign exchange reserves, Indonesia needs to rely on more than just the primary sector of trade. In addition, it is also necessary to develop and improve other sectors in order to invest in the investment sector.
| Item Type: | Thesis (S1) | |||||||||
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| Additional Information: | Cadangan devisa merupakan sumber pembiayaan dalam melakukan transaksi internasional. Cadangan devisa dapat dijadikan sentimen positif jika terjadi krisis untuk menahan dana keluar. Hilangnya cadangan mata uang menyebabkan penurunan kepercayaan investor, sehingga mengurangi tingkat investasi dalam perekonomian. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi cadangan devisa di Indonesia yang meliputi ekspor, inflasi, dan penanaman modal asing. Metode yang digunakan adalah Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL). Estimasi model yang didapatkan adalah time series dalam penelitian ini bersifat sekunder. Berdasarkan pengujian, secara simultan ditemukan tiga variabel independen yang berpengaruh signifikan terhadap cadangan devisa di Indonesia. Secara parsial ekspor dan penanaman modal asing berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap cadangan devisa. Sedangkan inflasi berpengaruh negatif dan tidak signifikan terhadap cadangan devisa. Dengan demikian, solusi yang dapat dilakukan adalah dengan meningkatkan jumlah cadangan devisanya, Indonesia tidak hanya mengandalkan sektor primer perdagangan. Selain itu, perlu juga dikembangkan dan ditingkatkan sektor-sektor lainnya untuk dapat berinvestasi di sektor penanaman modal. | |||||||||
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | Kata Kunci : Cadangan Devisa, Ekspor, Inflasi, Penanaman Modal Asing, ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lag) Keywords: Foreign Exchange Reserves, Exports, Inflation, Foreign Investment, ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lag) | |||||||||
| Subjects: | Communication > Science Journalism | |||||||||
| Divisions: | 05-Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis 05-Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis > 60201-Program Sarjana Ilmu Ekonomi Pembangunan |
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| Depositing User: | friska ria rahyunanda | |||||||||
| Date Deposited: | 30 Mar 2023 09:11 | |||||||||
| Last Modified: | 30 Mar 2023 09:11 | |||||||||
| URI: | http://eprints.untirta.ac.id/id/eprint/23032 |
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- FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI CADANGAN DEVISA DI INDONESIA. (deposited 30 Mar 2023 09:11) [Currently Displayed]
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