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primary topic: ANALISIS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG PENGIMPOR MINYAK

ANALISIS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG PENGIMPOR MINYAK
type: Thesis
type: Article
abstract: Price stability in developing countries faces challenges due to domestic price sensitivity arising from dependence on crude oil imports and exchange rates movements that transmit import prices into domestic prices in low and high regimes. This study aims to analyze the effects of world oil prices and exchange rates on inflation, along with other control variables, namely real interest rates, money supply, economic growth, and trade openness. The sample used consists of 19 oil-importing developing countries over the period 2000:Q1–2023:Q4 using the Fixed Effect Panel Threshold (FEPT) method. Panel Smooth Transition Regression (PSTR) is also applied to find evidence of a smooth and gradual regime transition. The results show that the PSTR model is not suitable for the model specification, but there is evidence of a nonlinear relationship. The FEPT results show that the exchange rate threshold is 4.8875%, with stable exchange rates in the low regime and higher exchange rates (currency depreciation) in the high regime. World oil prices have a positive effect on inflation when the exchange rate in the low regime, while this variable has no significant effect during the high regime. Economic growth has no significant effect during the low regime, while it has a significant negative effect during the high regime. The exchange rate, real interest rate, money supply, and trade openness variables have a significant negative effect in both the low and high regimes. Monetary authorities may implement FX intervention policies during periods of high depreciation and adopt forward-looking policies during periods of global oil price shocks. A combination of fiscal-energy policies aimed at developing renewable alternative energy resources can reduce dependence on crude oil imports.
date: 2026-02
status: published
creator: DEVIRA DIEDA GENESIA AZZAHRA
author list: authors
THS: CEP JANDI ANWAR
THS: STANNIA CAHAYA SUCI
type: EPrint
type: ThesisEPrint
is part of: repository
has document: ANALISIS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG PENGIMPOR MINYAK (Text)
has document: ANALISIS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG PENGIMPOR MINYAK (Other)
subject: HB Economic Theory

ANALISIS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG PENGIMPOR MINYAK (Text)
type: Document

ANALISIS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG PENGIMPOR MINYAK (Text)
type: Document

ANALISIS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG PENGIMPOR MINYAK (Text)
type: Document

ANALISIS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG PENGIMPOR MINYAK (Text)
type: Document

ANALISIS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG PENGIMPOR MINYAK (Text)
type: Document

ANALISIS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG PENGIMPOR MINYAK (Text)
type: Document

ANALISIS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG PENGIMPOR MINYAK (Text)
type: Document

ANALISIS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG PENGIMPOR MINYAK (Text)
type: Document

UNIVERSITAS SULTAN AGENG TIRTAYASA
type: Organization

ILMU EKONOMI PEMBANGUNAN, UNIVERSITAS SULTAN AGENG TIRTAYASA
type: Organization

CEP JANDI ANWAR
type: Person
given name: CEP JANDI
family name: ANWAR

STANNIA CAHAYA SUCI
type: Person
given name: STANNIA CAHAYA
family name: SUCI

DEVIRA DIEDA GENESIA AZZAHRA
type: Person
given name: DEVIRA DIEDA GENESIA
family name: AZZAHRA

FAKULTAS EKONOMI DAN BISNIS
type: Organization

ILMU EKONOMI PEMBANGUNAN
type: Organization

ANALISIS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG PENGIMPOR MINYAK (Other)
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ANALISIS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG PENGIMPOR MINYAK (Other)
type: Document
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is volatile version of: ANALISIS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG PENGIMPOR MINYAK (Text)
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ANALISIS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG PENGIMPOR MINYAK (Other)
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is version of: ANALISIS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG PENGIMPOR MINYAK (Text)
is volatile version of: ANALISIS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG PENGIMPOR MINYAK (Text)
is index codes version of: ANALISIS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG PENGIMPOR MINYAK (Text)
has file: indexcodes.txt
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ANALISIS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG PENGIMPOR MINYAK (Other)
type: Document
is version of: ANALISIS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG PENGIMPOR MINYAK (Text)
is volatile version of: ANALISIS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG PENGIMPOR MINYAK (Text)
is index codes version of: ANALISIS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG PENGIMPOR MINYAK (Text)
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ANALISIS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG PENGIMPOR MINYAK (Other)
type: Document
is version of: ANALISIS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG PENGIMPOR MINYAK (Text)
is volatile version of: ANALISIS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG PENGIMPOR MINYAK (Text)
is index codes version of: ANALISIS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG PENGIMPOR MINYAK (Text)
has file: indexcodes.txt
has part: indexcodes.txt

ANALISIS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG PENGIMPOR MINYAK (Other)
type: Document
is version of: ANALISIS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG PENGIMPOR MINYAK (Text)
is volatile version of: ANALISIS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG PENGIMPOR MINYAK (Text)
is index codes version of: ANALISIS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG PENGIMPOR MINYAK (Text)
has file: indexcodes.txt
has part: indexcodes.txt

ANALISIS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG PENGIMPOR MINYAK (Other)
type: Document
is version of: ANALISIS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG PENGIMPOR MINYAK (Text)
is volatile version of: ANALISIS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG PENGIMPOR MINYAK (Text)
is index codes version of: ANALISIS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG PENGIMPOR MINYAK (Text)
has file: indexcodes.txt
has part: indexcodes.txt

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primary topic: ANALISIS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG PENGIMPOR MINYAK

HB Economic Theory
type: Concept