eprintid: 50543 rev_number: 17 eprint_status: archive userid: 16632 dir: disk0/00/05/05/43 datestamp: 2025-07-10 06:04:16 lastmod: 2025-07-10 06:04:16 status_changed: 2025-07-10 06:04:16 type: thesis metadata_visibility: show creators_name: PITALOKA, DYAH AYU DWI creators_id: 5553210050 contributors_type: http://www.loc.gov/loc.terms/relators/THS contributors_type: http://www.loc.gov/loc.terms/relators/THS contributors_name: Herlina, Deswita contributors_name: Suci, Stannia C. contributors_id: 197012162003122001 contributors_id: 199104202019032020 corp_creators: UNIVERSITAS SULTAN AGENG TIRTAYASA corp_creators: FAKULTAS EKONOMI DAN BISNIS corp_creators: JURUSAN ILMU EKONOMI PEMBANGUNAN title: RESPONS GDP PERIKANAN INDONESIA TERHADAP SUKU BUNGA, INFLASI, NILAI TUKAR DAN KINERJA SEKTOR PERIKANAN: PERSPEKTIF BLUE ECONOMY ispublished: pub subjects: SH divisions: FEB divisions: IEP full_text_status: restricted keywords: Fisheries GDP, Interest Rate, Inflation, Exchange Rate, Blue Economy GDP Perikanan, suku bunga, inflasi, nilai tukar, Blue Economy note: Studi ini menganalisis bagaimana PDB perikanan Indonesia (FISHGDP) merespons suku bunga riil, inflasi, nilai tukar, produksi perikanan, dan ekspor perikanan dalam kerangka Blue Economy. Dengan menggunakan VECM dan data dari tahun 1985–2024, studi ini mengkaji hubungan jangka pendek dan jangka panjang melalui IRF dan Dekomposisi Varians. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan PDB perikanan merespons positif produksi ikan, dan ekspor ikan, tetapi negatif terhadap inflasi dan nilai tukar, dengan respons beragam terhadap suku bunga. Sementara itu, dalam jangka panjang (periode 100), hasil dekomposisi varians (VD) mengungkapkan bahwa dalam jangka panjang (periode 100), variasi PDB perikanan terutama dijelaskan oleh inflasi (39,35%), diikuti oleh nilai masa lalunya sendiri (34,32%), produksi perikanan (10,37%), nilai tukar (7,99%), suku bunga riil (7,49%), dan ekspor perikanan (0,46%). Temuan ini menegaskan dominannya pengaruh inflasi terhadap pertumbuhan sektor perikanan dan pentingnya efisiensi produksi, stabilitas nilai tukar, dan pengendalian makroekonomi untuk mendukung pembangunan Blue Economy di Indonesia. abstract: This study analyzes how Indonesia’s fisheries GDP (FISHGDP) responds to real interest rate, inflation, exchange rate, fisheries production, and exports within the Blue Economy framework. Using VECM and data from 1985–2024, it examines short- and long-term relationships through IRF and Variance Decomposition. Results show fisheries’ GDP responds positively to fish production, and fish exports, but negatively to inflation and exchange rates, with mixed responses to interest rates. In the long term, Meanwhile, the variance decomposition (VD) results reveal that in the long run (period 100), FISHGDP variation is primarily explained by inflation (39.35%), followed by its own past values (34.32%), fisheries production (10.37%), exchange rate (7.99%), real interest rate (7.49%), and exports (0.46%). These findings emphasize the dominant influence of inflation on fisheries sector growth and the importance of production efficiency, exchange rate stability, and macroeconomic control to support Indonesia’s Blue Economy development. date: 2025 date_type: published pages: 140 institution: UNIVERSITAS SULTAN AGENG TIRTAYASA department: ILMU EKONOMI PEMBANGUNAN thesis_type: sarjana thesis_name: sarjana citation: PITALOKA, DYAH AYU DWI (2025) RESPONS GDP PERIKANAN INDONESIA TERHADAP SUKU BUNGA, INFLASI, NILAI TUKAR DAN KINERJA SEKTOR PERIKANAN: PERSPEKTIF BLUE ECONOMY. S1 thesis, UNIVERSITAS SULTAN AGENG TIRTAYASA. document_url: https://eprints.untirta.ac.id/50543/1/Dyah%20Ayu%20Dwi%20Pitaloka_5553210050_fulltext.pdf document_url: https://eprints.untirta.ac.id/50543/2/Dyah%20Ayu%20Dwi%20Pitaloka_5553210050_CP.pdf document_url: https://eprints.untirta.ac.id/50543/3/Dyah%20Ayu%20Dwi%20Pitaloka_5553210050_01.pdf document_url: https://eprints.untirta.ac.id/50543/4/Dyah%20Ayu%20Dwi%20Pitaloka_5553210050_02.pdf document_url: https://eprints.untirta.ac.id/50543/5/Dyah%20Ayu%20Dwi%20Pitaloka_5553210050_03.pdf document_url: https://eprints.untirta.ac.id/50543/6/Dyah%20Ayu%20Dwi%20Pitaloka_5553210050_04.pdf document_url: https://eprints.untirta.ac.id/50543/7/Dyah%20Ayu%20Dwi%20Pitaloka_5553210050_05.pdf document_url: https://eprints.untirta.ac.id/50543/8/Dyah%20Ayu%20Dwi%20Pitaloka_5553210050_Ref.pdf document_url: https://eprints.untirta.ac.id/50543/9/Dyah%20Ayu%20Dwi%20Pitaloka_5553210050_lamp.pdf