relation: https://eprints.untirta.ac.id/49880/
title: MENGUKUR  PERSISTENSI INFLASI DAN ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI INFLASI DI INDONESIA
creator: Simanjuntak, Togi Marito
subject: H Social Sciences (General)
subject: HB Economic Theory
subject: HC Economic History and Conditions
subject: HN Social history and conditions. Social problems. Social reform
description: The stability of the country's economy is highly dependent on inflation control. Actual inflation movements in Indonesia are very volatile and often do not match the inflation target because prices do not easily move down even under very tight monetary policy. So it is necessary to understand how inflation behaves itself, by calculating the persistence of inflation in Indonesia and the factors that influence inflation in Indonesia in the short and long term for the period 2015M01 - 2024M12. This study uses two research methods, namely the autoregressive (AR) method to determine the degree of inflation persistence and the ARDL method to analyze the relationship between variables in the short and long term. This study shows that Indonesia has a high degree of inflation persistence. Economic shocks that cause inflation require a recovery period of 18 months. The Fed's interest rate, exports, and exchange rates affect inflation in both the short and long term. While the amount of money in circulation and imports only affect the long term, and uncertainty affects the short term. BI's interest rate and world oil prices do not have a significant effect on inflation. These findings emphasize the importance of a comprehensive monetary policy strategy.
date: 2025
type: Thesis
type: NonPeerReviewed
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language: en
identifier: https://eprints.untirta.ac.id/49880/2/Togi%20Marito%20Simanjuntak_5553210039_fulltext.pdf
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identifier: https://eprints.untirta.ac.id/49880/3/Togi%20Marito%20Simanjuntak_5553210039_01.pdf
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identifier: https://eprints.untirta.ac.id/49880/4/Togi%20Marito%20Simanjuntak_5553210039_02.pdf
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identifier: https://eprints.untirta.ac.id/49880/5/Togi%20Marito%20Simanjuntak_5553210039_03.pdf
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identifier: https://eprints.untirta.ac.id/49880/6/Togi%20Marito%20Simanjuntak_5553210039_04.pdf
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identifier: https://eprints.untirta.ac.id/49880/7/Togi%20Marito%20Simanjuntak_5553210039_05.pdf
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identifier: https://eprints.untirta.ac.id/49880/8/Togi%20Marito%20Simanjuntak_5553210039_ref.pdf
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language: en
identifier: https://eprints.untirta.ac.id/49880/9/Togi%20Marito%20Simanjuntak_5553210039_lamp.pdf
identifier:   Simanjuntak, Togi Marito  (2025) MENGUKUR PERSISTENSI INFLASI DAN ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI INFLASI DI INDONESIA.  S1 thesis, UNIVERSITAS SULTAN AGENG TIRTAYASA.