eprintid: 46069
rev_number: 17
eprint_status: archive
userid: 1550
dir: disk0/00/04/60/69
datestamp: 2025-03-10 03:32:32
lastmod: 2025-03-10 03:32:32
status_changed: 2025-03-10 03:32:32
type: thesis
metadata_visibility: show
creators_name: SAUDARA RISMANTUA SIHITE, SAVANT
creators_id: 5553190047
contributors_type: http://www.loc.gov/loc.terms/relators/THS
contributors_type: http://www.loc.gov/loc.terms/relators/THS
contributors_name: Chendrawan, Tony
contributors_name: Syaifudin, Rizal
contributors_id: 201501022054
contributors_id: 199201052019031021
corp_creators: UNIVERSITAS SULTAN AGENG TIRTAYASA
corp_creators: FAKULTAS EKONOMI DAN BISNIS
corp_creators: ILMU EKONOMI PEMBANGUNAN
title: ANALISIS DETERMINAN INFLASI DI INDONESIA DENGAN MODEL AUTOREGRESSIVE DISTRIBUTED LAG (ARDL)
ispublished: pub
subjects: HB
subjects: HC
divisions: FEB
divisions: IEP
full_text_status: restricted
keywords: Inflation, Interest Rate, Exchange Rate, Money Supply (M2),
Consumer Price Index, World Oil Prices, ARDL
Inflasi, Suku Bunga, Nilai Tukar, Jumlah Uang Beredar (M2), Indeks
Harga Konsumen, Harga Minyak Dunia, ARDL
note: Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh variabel Nilai Tukar, Suku Bunga, Jumlah Uang Beredar (M2), Indeks Harga Konsumen, Harga Minyak Dunia terhadap Inflasi di Indonesia dalam jangka panjang dan pendek dengan menggunakan data bulanan dari Januari 2020 sampai Desember 2023. Metode penelitian yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini yakni dengan menggunakan Autoregressive Distrubuted Lag (ARDL). Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa dalam jangka panjang variabel nilai tukar, indeks harga konsumen, dan harga minyak dunia berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap inflasi di Indonesia, variabel suku bunga dan jumlah uang beredar tidak menunjukkan pengaruh signifikan terhadap Inflasi di Indonesia dalam jangka panjang. Pada uji jangka pendek variabel nilai tukar, suku bunga, jumlah uang beredar, dan harga minyak dunia tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap inflasi dalam jangka pendek sedangkan variabel indeks harga konsumen berpengaruh positif signifikan terhadap Inflasi di Indonesia periode Januari 2018-Desember 2023
abstract: This study aims to analyze the influence of Exchange Rate, Interest Rate, Money Supply (M2), Consumer Price Index, World Oil Prices on Inflation in Indonesia in the long and short term using monthly data from January 2020 to December 2023. The research method used in this study is to use Autoregressive Distrubuted Lag (ARDL). The results of this study indicate that in the long term the exchange rate 
variable, consumer price index, and world oil prices have a positive and significant effect on inflation in Indonesia, the interest rate variable and the money supply do not show a significant effect on Inflation in Indonesia in the long term. In the shor-term test, the variables of exchange rates, interest rates, money supply, and world oil prices have no significant effect on inflation in the short-term while the consumer 
price index variable has a significant positive effect on inflation in Indonesia for the period January 2018-December 2023.
date: 2024
date_type: published
pages: 137
institution: UNIVERSITAS SULTAN AGENG TIRTAYSA
department: ILMU EKONOMI PEMBANGUNAN
thesis_type: sarjana
thesis_name: sarjana
citation:   SAUDARA RISMANTUA SIHITE, SAVANT  (2024) ANALISIS DETERMINAN INFLASI DI INDONESIA DENGAN MODEL AUTOREGRESSIVE DISTRIBUTED LAG (ARDL).  S1 thesis, UNIVERSITAS SULTAN AGENG TIRTAYSA.   
document_url: https://eprints.untirta.ac.id/46069/1/Savant%20Saudara%20Rismantua%20Sihite_5553190047_FullText.pdf
document_url: https://eprints.untirta.ac.id/46069/2/Savant%20Saudara%20Rismantua%20Sihite_5553190047_01.pdf
document_url: https://eprints.untirta.ac.id/46069/3/Savant%20Saudara%20Rismantua%20SIhite_5553190047_02.pdf
document_url: https://eprints.untirta.ac.id/46069/4/Savant%20Saudara%20Rismantua%20SIhite_5553190047_03.pdf
document_url: https://eprints.untirta.ac.id/46069/5/Savant%20Saudara%20Rismantua%20SIhite_5553190047_04.pdf
document_url: https://eprints.untirta.ac.id/46069/6/Savant%20Saudara%20Rismantua%20SIhite_5553190047_05.pdf
document_url: https://eprints.untirta.ac.id/46069/7/Savant%20Saudara%20Rismantua%20SIhite_5553190047_Ref.pdf
document_url: https://eprints.untirta.ac.id/46069/8/Savant%20Saudara%20Rismantua%20SIhite_5553190047_Lampiran.pdf