relation: https://eprints.untirta.ac.id/45300/
title: PENDEKATAN VECM DALAM MENGANALISIS PENGARUH ANTARA FDI, INFLASI, KURS, PDB DAN SUKU BUNGA TERHADAP NERACA PERDAGANGAN INDONESIA
creator: Widyani Shopa, Tri
subject: L Education (General)
description: The trade balance is one of the important indicators that reflects the balance  between a country's exports and imports. A healthy trade balance is one of the key  factors in supporting the external resilience of the sustainable Indonesian  economy. Behind the deficit and surplus of the trade balance, there are several  factors that influence it, therefore the researcher studied the variables of Foreign  Direct Investment, Inflation, Exchange Rates, Gross Domestic Product and  Interest Rates on the trade balance in Indonesia for the period Q1 2007 to Q4  2023. This study uses the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) method and  uses the eviews 13 application as a data processor. The results of this study  indicate that there is cointegration of the variables of inflation, exchange rates,  and GDP on the trade balance. The effects of shocks given by FDI, Inflation, GDP  and Interest Rates on the trade balance began to move stably but had negative  values from the 20th to the 68th period, while the Exchange Rate variable moved  stably with a positive value. And the ability to contribute the most to the trade  balance from FDI and Inflation is 1.14%; Exchange Rate 5.54%; GDP 4.01%;  and Interest Rate 1.79%. Further implications in this study are how the  government's role in issuing appropriate policies to overcome Indonesia's trade  balance deficit, including by maintaining exchange rate stability through more  active market intervention, good inflation control through improving  infrastructure quality and logistics efficiency, and attracting export-oriented FDI  and building a startup ecosystem to maintain the trade balance in a surplus  condition so that it can support sustainable national economic growth.
date: 2024
type: Thesis
type: NonPeerReviewed
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identifier: https://eprints.untirta.ac.id/45300/1/Tri%20Widyani%20S_5553180021_Fulltext.pdf
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identifier: https://eprints.untirta.ac.id/45300/3/Tri%20Widyani%20S_5553180021_02.pdf
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identifier: https://eprints.untirta.ac.id/45300/4/Tri%20Widyani%20S_5553180021_03.pdf
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identifier: https://eprints.untirta.ac.id/45300/5/Tri%20Widyani%20S_5553180021_04.pdf
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identifier: https://eprints.untirta.ac.id/45300/6/Tri%20Widyani%20S_5553180021_05.pdf
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identifier: https://eprints.untirta.ac.id/45300/7/Tri%20Widyani%20S_5553180021_Ref.pdf
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identifier: https://eprints.untirta.ac.id/45300/8/Tri%20Widyani%20S_5553180021_Lamp.pdf
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language: en
identifier: https://eprints.untirta.ac.id/45300/9/Tri%20Widyani%20S_5553180021_01.pdf
identifier:   Widyani Shopa, Tri  (2024) PENDEKATAN VECM DALAM MENGANALISIS PENGARUH ANTARA FDI, INFLASI, KURS, PDB DAN SUKU BUNGA TERHADAP NERACA PERDAGANGAN INDONESIA.  S1 thesis, UNIVERSITAS SULTAN AGENG TIRTAYASA.   
relation: https://eprints.untirta.ac.id/id/eprint/45300