MIPTAHUDIN, MIMIP (2025) REALISASI ANGGARAN BANSOS TERHADAP MAKROEKONOMI (Studi Kasus Pada 34 Provinsi Di Indonesia Tahun 2018-2023). Master thesis, UNIVERSITAS SULTAN AGENG TIRTAYASA.
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Abstract
This study aims to identify the effect of the realization of the social assistance budget (SA), Per Capita Income (I/Cap), Provincial Minimum Wage (Wage) on Poverty (POV), Unemployment (UNEM), and Inequality (GINI). This study uses the GMM (Generalized Method of Moment) estimation method with panel data from 34 Provinces in Indonesia during the 2018-2023 period, sourced from the Central Statistics Agency and the National Planning Agency. The estimation results using the GMM panel show that social assistance (SA) has a negative and significant effect on the poverty rate (POV), social assistance has a negative and significant effect on the open unemployment rate (UNEM). However, social assistance (SA) has a positive and insignificant effect on inequality (GINI). Meanwhile, per capita income (I/Cap) shows a negative and significant effect on the poverty rate (POV), per capita income (I/Cap) shows a positive and significant effect on the open unemployment rate (UNEM). However, per capita income (I/Cap) shows a negative and insignificant effect on inequality (GINI). For the provincial minimum wage (Wage) shows a positive and insignificant effect on the poverty rate (POV), the provincial minimum wage (Wage) shows a negative and significant effect on the open unemployment rate (UNEM), while the provincial minimum wage (Wage) shows a positive and significant effect on inequality (GINI). All these results indicate that the social assistance budget is effective in driving poverty rates and open unemployment rates but is less successful in addressing inequality. The social assistance budget needs to be optimized in terms of targeting recipients. A scale of assistance that is too small and an inappropriate social assistance design can create a poverty trap.
| Item Type: | Thesis (Master) | |||||||||
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| Additional Information: | Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengidentifikasi pengaruh realisasi anggaran bantuan sosial (social assistance=SA), Pendapatan Perkapita (Income per capita = I/Cap), Upah Minimum Provinsi (Minimum Wage = Wage) Terhadap Kemiskinan (Poverty = POV, Pengangguran (Unemployment = UNEM), dan Ketimpangan (Inequality = GINI). Penelitian ini menggunakan metode estimasi GMM (Generalized Method of Moment) dengan data panel dari 34 Provinsi di Indonesia selama kurun waktu 2018-2023, yang bersumber dari Badan Pusat Statistik dan Badan Perencanaan Nasional. Hasil estimasi menggunakan panel GMM menunjukan bahwa bantuan sosial (SA) memiliki Pengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap tingkat kemiskinan (POV), Bantuan sosial memiliki pengaruh negatif dan sinifikan terhadap tingkat pengangguran terbuka (UNEM). Akan tetapi bantuan sosial (SA) memiliki hasil pengaruh positif dan tidak signifikan terhadap ketimpangan (GINI). Sementara itu pendapatan perkapita (I/Cap) menunjukan pengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap tingkat kemiskinan (POV), pendapatan perkapita (I/Cap) menunjukan pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap tingkat pengangguran terbuka (UNEM). Akan tetapi pendapatan perkapita (I/Cap) menunjukan pengaruh negatif dan tidak signifikan terhadap ketimpangan (GINI). Untuk upah minimum Provinsi (Wage) menunjukan pengaruh positif dan tidak signifikan terhadap tingkat kemiskinan (POV), Upah minimum Provinsi (Wage) menunjukan Pengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap tingkat pengangguran terbuka (UNEM), Sedangkan Upah minimum Provinsi (Wage) menunjukan Pengaruh pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap ketimpangan (GINI). Semua hasil ini menunjukan bahwa anggaran bantuan sosial efektif mendorong tingkat kemiskinan dan tingkat penganguran terbuka, namun kurang berhasil dalam mengatasi ketimpangan. Anggaran batuan sosial perlu di optimalkan dalam ketepatan sasaran kepada penerima bantuan, Skala bantuan terlalu kecil serta desain bansos yang tidak tepat dapat menciptakan jebakan kemiskinan. | |||||||||
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | Social Assistance Budget Realization, Per Capita Income, Provincial Minimum Wage, Poverty, Unemployment, Inequality, GMM (Generalized Method of Moment). Realisasi Anggaran Bantuan Sosial, Pendapatan Perkapita, Upah Minimum Provinsi, Kemiskinan, Pengangguran, Ketimpangan, GMM (Generalized Method of Moment) | |||||||||
| Subjects: | H Social Sciences > H Social Sciences (General) | |||||||||
| Divisions: | 05-Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis | |||||||||
| Depositing User: | MIMIP MIPTAHUDIN | |||||||||
| Date Deposited: | 19 Nov 2025 02:26 | |||||||||
| Last Modified: | 19 Nov 2025 02:26 | |||||||||
| URI: | http://eprints.untirta.ac.id/id/eprint/56170 |
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