PENGARUH FAKTOR SOSIAL-EKONOMI TERHADAP KRIMINALITAS: STUDI KASUS PROVINSI-PROVINSI DI PULAU SUMATERA

Pasaribu, Sanjiwan (2025) PENGARUH FAKTOR SOSIAL-EKONOMI TERHADAP KRIMINALITAS: STUDI KASUS PROVINSI-PROVINSI DI PULAU SUMATERA. S1 thesis, UNIVERSITAS SULTAN AGENG TIRTAYASA.

	Text Sanjiwan Pasaribu_5553210031_CP.pdf Restricted to Registered users only Download (22MB)
	Text Sanjiwan Pasaribu_5553210031_Fulltext.pdf Restricted to Registered users only Download (4MB)
	Text Sanjiwan Pasaribu_5553210031_02.pdf Restricted to Registered users only Download (1MB)
	Text Sanjiwan Pasaribu_5553210031_03.pdf Restricted to Registered users only Download (376kB)
	Text Sanjiwan Pasaribu_5553210031_04.pdf Restricted to Registered users only Download (566kB)
	Text Sanjiwan Pasaribu_5553210031_05.pdf Restricted to Registered users only Download (120kB)
	Text Sanjiwan Pasaribu_5553210031_Ref.pdf Restricted to Registered users only Download (285kB)
	Text (SKRIPSI) Sanjiwan Pasaribu_5553210031_Lamp.pdf Restricted to Registered users only Download (564kB)
	Text Sanjiwan Pasaribu_5553210031_01.pdf Restricted to Registered users only Download (1MB)

Abstract

This study analyzes the influence of socioeconomic factors on the crime rate in 10 provinces on the island of Sumatra during the 2011-2023 period using a panel regression approach with a Fixed Effect Model. The results indicate that income inequality, population density, and Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) per capita have a significant positive effect on the crime rate, while unemployment, crime resolution, and average years of schooling show a significant negative impact. The poverty variable, however, was found to be insignificant. Economically, these findings imply that the uneven distribution of wealth and noninclusive economic growth are primary drivers of the increase in crime, surpassing the impact of poverty itself. The rise in GRDP per capita, which correlates positively with crime, suggests an 'opportunity effect' where economic growth inadvertently creates more criminal targets. Therefore, investment in human capital through education and the strengthening of law enforcement effectiveness prove to be crucial policy instruments for curbing crime by increasing the opportunity cost of illegal activities and reinforcing the deterrent effect.

Item Type:

Thesis (S1)

Contributors:

Contribution	Contributors	NIP/NIM
Thesis advisor	SUHENDRA, INDRA	197702172008011016
Thesis advisor	SYAIFUDIN, RIZAL	199201052019031021

Additional Information:

Penelitian ini menganalisis pengaruh faktor sosial-ekonomi terhadap tingkat kriminalitas di 10 provinsi Pulau Sumatera selama periode 2011-2023 menggunakan pendekatan regresi panel dengan Fixed Effect Model. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa ketimpangan pendapatan, kepadatan penduduk, dan PDRB per kapita memiliki pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap tingkat kriminalitas, sedangkan pengangguran, penyelesaian tindak pidana, dan rata-rata lama sekolah berpengaruh negatif secara signifikan. Adapun variabel kemiskinan tidak menunjukkan pengaruh yang signifikan. Secara ekonomi, temuan ini mengimplikasikan bahwa ketidakmerataan distribusi kekayaan dan pertumbuhan ekonomi yang tidak inklusif menjadi pendorong utama peningkatan kejahatan, melebihi dampak dari kemiskinan itu sendiri. Peningkatan PDRB per kapita yang disertai naiknya kriminalitas mengindikasikan adanya opportunity effect, di mana pertumbuhan ekonomi justru menciptakan lebih banyak target kejahatan. Dengan demikian, investasi pada modal manusia melalui pendidikan dan penguatan efektivitas institusi penegak hukum terbukti menjadi instrumen kebijakan yang krusial untuk menekan angka kriminalitas dengan meningkatkan biaya oportunitas dari tindakan ilegal serta memperkuat efek jera.

Uncontrolled Keywords:

Socio-economic factors, crime, FEM, Sumatra Faktor sosial-ekonomi, kriminalitas, FEM, Pulau Sumatera

Subjects:

H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions

Divisions:

05-Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis
05-Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis > 60201-Program Sarjana Ilmu Ekonomi Pembangunan

Depositing User:

Sanjiwan Pasaribu

Date Deposited:

11 Sep 2025 06:17

Last Modified:

11 Sep 2025 06:17

URI:

http://eprints.untirta.ac.id/id/eprint/54259

Actions (login required)

View Item

Search for collections on EPrints Repository UNTIRTA