Nusawijaya, Irkhas Cipto (2024) PENGARUH EKSPOR, PMDN SEKTOR PARIWISATA, PENGELUARAN WISATAWAN ASING, NILAI TUKAR DAN SUKU BUNGA TERHADAP CADANGAN DEVISA INDONESIA PADA MASA SEBELUM DAN SESUDAH COVID-19. S1 thesis, UNIVERSITAS SULTAN AGENG TIRTAYASA.
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Abstract
This research aims to analyze the long and short term influence of exports, PMDN in the tourism sector, foreign tourist expenditure, exchange rates and interest rates on Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves as well as the response of foreign exchange reserves in the period before and after the Covid-19 pandemi in Indonesia in 2014Q1-2022Q4. This research uses the Error Correction Model (ECM) analysis model. The results of the analysis show that in the short term the export variable and the PMDN variable in the tourism sector have a positive but not significant effect, then the foreign tourist expenditure variable has a significant positive effect, and the exchange rate variable has a significant negative effect as well as the interest rate variable has a negative but not significant effect. Meanwhile, in the long term, the export and PMDN variables in the tourism sector have a positive and significant effect, while the foreign tourist expenditure variable has a positive but not significant effect, then the exchange rate variable has a negative but not significant effect, as well as the interest rate variable has a negative but significant effect. in the long term. Meanwhile, in terms of the response to foreign exchange reserves during the pandemi, there was a decrease of -0.0144544 in foreign exchange reserves during the Covid-19 pandemi.
| Item Type: | Thesis (S1) | |||||||||
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| Additional Information: | Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh jangka panjang dan pendek antara ekspor, PMDN sektor pariwisata, pengeluaran wisatawan asing, nilai tukar dan suku bunga terhadap cadangan devisa Indonesia serta respon cadangan devisa pada masa sebelum dan sesudah pandemi Covid-19 di Indonesia ditahun 2014Q1-2022Q4. Penelitian ini menggunakan model analisis Error Correction Model (ECM). Hasil analisis menunjukan bahwa dalam jangka pendek variabel ekspor dan variabel PMDN sektor pariwisata berpengaruh secara positif tidak signifikan, lalu pada variabel pengeluaran wisatawan asing berpengaruh secara positif signifikan, dan variabel kurs berpengaruh secara negatif signifikan begitu juga pada variabel suku bunga berpengaruh secara negatif namun tidak signifikan. Sedangkan pada jangka panjang variabel ekspor dan PMDN sektor pariwisata berpengaruh secara positif dan signifikan, sedangkan untuk variabel pengeluaran wisatawan asing berpengaruh secara positif namun tidak signifikan, lalu pada variabel nilai tukar berpengaruh secara negatif tidak signifikan begitu juga pada variabel suku bunga berpengaruh secara negatif namun signifikan pada jangka panjang. Sedangkan untuk respon cadangan devisa pada saat pandemi terjadi terdapat penurunan sebesar -0,0144544 pada cadangan devisa selama masa pandemi Covid-19. | |||||||||
| Subjects: | H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions H Social Sciences > HN Social history and conditions. Social problems. Social reform |
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| Divisions: | 05-Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis 05-Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis > 60201-Program Sarjana Ilmu Ekonomi Pembangunan |
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| Depositing User: | Irkhas Cipto Nusawijaya | |||||||||
| Date Deposited: | 16 Aug 2024 09:13 | |||||||||
| Last Modified: | 16 Aug 2024 09:13 | |||||||||
| URI: | http://eprints.untirta.ac.id/id/eprint/40909 |
Available Versions of this Item
- PENGARUH EKSPOR, PMDN SEKTOR PARIWISATA, PENGELUARAN WISATAWAN ASING, NILAI TUKAR DAN SUKU BUNGA TERHADAP CADANGAN DEVISA INDONESIA PADA MASA SEBELUM DAN SESUDAH COVID-19. (deposited 16 Aug 2024 09:13) [Currently Displayed]
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