SOVIA, SYAHRINA (2024) ANALISIS PENGARUH EKSPOR, IMPOR, BI RATE DAN CADANGAN DEVISA TERHADAP NILAI TUKAR YUAN PERIODE TAHUN 2017-2021. S1 thesis, UNIVERSITAS SULTAN AGENG TIRTAYASA.
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Abstract
The purpose of this study is to analyze the long-term and short-term effects of the variables of Indonesia's Exports to China, Indonesia's Imports from China, the BI Rate and Indonesia's Foreign Exchange Reserves on the Rupiah Exchange Rate against Yuan (Rp / CNY) using monthly data from January 2017 - December 2021. This study uses the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) method. The results of this study indicate that in the long term the Export variable has no significant effect, the Import variable has a positive and significant effect, the BI Rate variable has a negative and significant effect and the Foreign Exchange Reserve has a negative and significant effect. Meanwhile, in the short term, the Export variable has no significant effect, the Import variable has a positive effect, the BI Rate variable has no significant effect and the foreign exchange reserve variable has a negative and significant effect on the Rupiah Exchange Rate against Yuan for the 2017-2021 Period.
| Item Type: | Thesis (S1) | |||||||||
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| Additional Information: | Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk menganalisis pengaruh Jangka Panjang dan Jangka Pendek variabel Ekspor Indonesia ke China, Impor Indonesia dari China, BI Rate dan Cadangan Devisa Indonesia terhadap Nilai Tukar Rupiah terhadap Yuan (Rp/CNY) dengan menggunakan data bulanan Januari 2017 – Desember 2021. Penelitian ini menggunakan Metode Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL). Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa dalam jangka panjang variabel Ekspor tidak berpengaruh signifikan, variabel Impor berpengaruh positif dan signifikan, variabel BI Rate berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan dan Cadangan Devisa berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan. Sedangkan dalam jangka pendek variabel Ekspor tidak berpengaruh signifikan, variabel Impor berpengaruh positif, variabel BI Rate tidak berpengaruh signifikan dan variabel cadangan devisa berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap Nilai Tukar Rupiah terhadap Yuan Periode Tahun 2017-2021. | |||||||||
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | Yuan Exchange Rate, Exports, Imports, BI Rate, Foreign Exchange Reserves, ARDL. Nilai Tukar Yuan, Ekspor, Impor, BI Rate, Cadangan Devisa, ARDL. | |||||||||
| Subjects: | H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory | |||||||||
| Divisions: | 05-Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis 05-Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis > 60201-Program Sarjana Ilmu Ekonomi Pembangunan |
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| Depositing User: | Syahrina Sovia | |||||||||
| Date Deposited: | 06 Jun 2024 12:09 | |||||||||
| Last Modified: | 07 Jun 2024 11:44 | |||||||||
| URI: | http://eprints.untirta.ac.id/id/eprint/35940 |
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