PENGARUH PENGELUARAN RUMAH TANGGA TERHADAP INFLASI

Imron, Imron (2023) PENGARUH PENGELUARAN RUMAH TANGGA TERHADAP INFLASI. S1 thesis, UNIVERSITAS SULTAN AGENG TIRTAYASA.

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Abstract

Most of household expenditure in Indonesia is used for consumption and the increasing trend of household consumption allows inflation to continue to increase and is difficult to control, but based on the data obtained, inflation tends to be stable. Using data from August 2018 - December 2022 this study uses consumption, loan repayments and savings as independent variables, where these variables are the distribution of household expenses. Where, consumption is the percentage of household consumption to expenditure, loan installments are the percentage of loan installments to expenditure and savings are household savings at the bank and mount-to-mount inflation as the dependent variable. using multiple linear regression method with the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model. This study aims to see the effect of consumption, loan repayments and savings on inflation. Based on the results of the analysis, it is known that Covid 19 which hit Indonesia caused inflation to be low while the percentage of consumption to household expenditure increased and the percentage of loan repayments to household expenditure experienced a significant decrease and there were remaining loan installments during the Covid 19 period. Even though bank savings have increased, but does not affect demand directly. This makes consumption have a negative and significant effect on inflation in the short and long term, loan installments have a negative and significant effect on the long term and savings have no effect on inflation.

Item Type:

Thesis (S1)

Contributors:

Contribution	Contributors	NIP/NIM
Thesis advisor	Arifin, Samsul	197811192009121002
Thesis advisor	Haidat mangara, Togi	199511072022031011

Additional Information:

Sebagian besar pengeluaran rumah tangga di indonesia digunakan untuk konsumsi serta adanya tren peningkatan konsumsi rumah tangga memungkinkan inflasi terus meningkat dan sulit di kendalkikan, tetapi berdasarkan data yang diperoleh inflasi masih cenderung stabil. Dengan menggunakan data dari bulan agustus 2018 – desember 2022 penelitian ini menggunakan konsumsi, cicilan pinjaman dan tabungan sebagai variabel independen, dimana variabel tersebut merupakan pembagian pengeluaran rumah tangga. Dimana, konsumsi yaitu persentase konsumsi rumah tangga terhadap pengeluaran, cicilan pinjaman yaitu persentase cicilan pinjaman terhadap pengeluaran dan tabungan yaitu tabungan rumah tangga di bank serta inflasi mount to mount sebagai variabel dependen. menggunakan metode regresi linier berganda dengan model Autoregressive Distributed lag (ARDL). Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk melihat pengaruh konsumsi, cicilan pinjaman dan tabungan terhadap inflasi. Berdasarkan hasil analisis diketahui bahwa covid 19 yang melanda indonesia membuat inflasi menjadi rendah sementara persentase konsumsi terhadap pengeluaran rumah tangga meningkat dan persentase cicilan pinjaman terhadap pengeluaran rumah tangga mengalami penuruanan yang signifikan dan adanya sisa cicilan pinjaman pada masa covid 19. Meskipun tabungan bank mengalami kenaikan namun tidak mempengaruhi permintaan secara langsung. Hal ini membuat konsumsi memiliki pengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap inflasi dalam jangka pendek dan jangka panjang, cicilan pinjaman berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan dalam jangka panjang dan tabungan tidak memiliki pengaruh terhadap inflasi.

Uncontrolled Keywords:

inflation, household expendetur, ARDL inflasi, pengeluaran rumah tangga, ARDL

Subjects:

H Social Sciences > H Social Sciences (General)
H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions

Divisions:

05-Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis
05-Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis > 60201-Program Sarjana Ilmu Ekonomi Pembangunan

Depositing User:

Imron Imron

Date Deposited:

14 Nov 2023 11:37

Last Modified:

14 Nov 2023 11:37

URI:

http://eprints.untirta.ac.id/id/eprint/30939

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