ANALISIS PENGARUH SUKU BUNGA KREDIT, INFLASI, TINGKAT TEKNOLOGI DAN KRISIS EKONOMI TERHADAP INVESTASI DALAM NEGERI DI INDONESIA (Pendekatan Kointegrasi dan Error Correction Model)

Rizky Fahmi, Vicky (2015) ANALISIS PENGARUH SUKU BUNGA KREDIT, INFLASI, TINGKAT TEKNOLOGI DAN KRISIS EKONOMI TERHADAP INVESTASI DALAM NEGERI DI INDONESIA (Pendekatan Kointegrasi dan Error Correction Model). S1 thesis, Universitas Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa.

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Abstract

ABSTRACT Domestic investment is an important component determining the rate of aggregate expenditure and is one of alternative source of financing for in fulfilling financing needs Indonesia that is one develop countries that are in the proces global need money, facilities and infrastructure to support development process completely. The purpose of this research is to analyze and understand the influence of variable credit interes rate, inflation, the level of technology and economic crisis on domestic investment in Indonesia at long run and short term. The data used is the annual time series in the year 1984-2013 by using approach of Cointegration and Error Correction Model. Based on the estimation showed at a variable level of technology influential significantly to domestic investment in Indonesia on the long term. While variable credit interes rate, inflation and economic crisis did not influence sifnificantly to domestic investment in Indonesia. It is bringing implication that in the long run to a variable level of technology can be used to predict changes in domestic investment Indonesia. The value of error correction term (ECT) show that the balance the short run on the model of domestic investement in Indonesia, so there are the process of adjusting the short run to balance long term have a direction move upwards In the short term and valid. In the short run, of estimating results show that the variable credit interest rates influence significantly to domestic investement in Indonesia. While the variable inflation, the level of technologi and economic crisis did not influence significantly to domestic investment in Indonesia. It is bringing implication of that in the short term a variable credit interes rate can be used to predict changes in domestic investment in Indonesia. Keywords: Domestic Investment, Credit Interes Rate, Inflation, Technology, Cointegration, Error Correction Model

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Thesis (S1)

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