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ANALISIS DETERMINASI CADANGAN DEVISA INDONESIA PERIODE SEBELUM PANDEMI COVID-19 DAN SELAMA PANDEMI COVID-19

AZZAHRA, FATIMAH (2023) ANALISIS DETERMINASI CADANGAN DEVISA INDONESIA PERIODE SEBELUM PANDEMI COVID-19 DAN SELAMA PANDEMI COVID-19. S1 thesis, UNIVERSITAS SULTAN AGENG TIRTAYASA.

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Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of exports, foreign debt, exchange rates, inflation, interest rates, and foreign direct investment (FDI) on foreign exchange reserves in Indonesia and to compare the state of foreign exchange reserves before the COVID-19 pandemic and during the COVID-19 pandemic. This type of research is quantitative. This study's sample size is 36 data points, which were used as research objects from 2013 Q1 to 2021 Q4. To see the effect of the independent variable on the dependent variable, the researcher tested it using multiple linear regression with a dummy. Based on the research results obtained, it shows that the variables of exports, foreign debt, inflation, exchange rates, interest rates, and FDI simultaneously affect foreign exchange reserves in Indonesia in the period before the COVID-19 pandemic and during the COVID-19 pandemic. Meanwhile, while the export and foreign debt variables have a positive effect on Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves, the exchange rate, interest rate, inflation, and foreign direct investment (FDI) variables have a negative effect. And, comparing the state of foreign exchange reserves before the COVID-19 pandemic and during the COVID-19 pandemic shows that foreign exchange reserves have a higher average value than before the COVID-19 pandemic. And foreign exchange reserves do not determine whether a country can avoid a pandemic or not. Even if the government has high foreign exchange reserves, a crisis can occur at any time. Foreign exchange reserves can act as a financial safety net.

Item Type: Thesis (S1)
Contributors:
ContributionContributorsNIP/NIM
Thesis advisorSAMSUL, ARIFIN197811192009121002
Thesis advisorMUTIA ZAHARA, VADILA199106272019032023
Additional Information: Penelitian ini bertujuan menganalisis Pengaruh Ekspor, Utang Luar Negeri, Nilai Tukar, Inflasi, Suku Bunga Dan Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) terhadap Cadangan Devisa di Indonesia serta membandingkan keadaan cadangan devisa sebelum pandemic Covid-19 dengan selama pandemic Covid-19. Jenis penelitian ini adalah kuanlitatif. Sampel penelitian ini berjumlah 36 data yang dijadikan sebagai objek penelitian dengan menggunakan periode 2013Q1-2021Q4. Untuk melihat pengaruh variabel independen terhadap variabel dependen, peneliti melakukan pengujian dengan regresi linear berganda dengan dummy. Berdasarkan hasil penelitian yang diperoleh, menunjukkan bahwa variabel ekspor, utang luar negeri, inflasi, nilai tukar, suku bunga dan FDI secara simultan terhadap cadangan devisa di Indonesia pada periode sebelum pandemi covid-19 dan selama pandemi covid-19. Sedangkan, secara parsial variabel Ekspor Dan Utang Luar Negeri berpengaruh positif terhadap Cadangan Devisa di Indonesia, variabel Nilai Tukar, Suku Bunga, Inflasi Dan Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) berpengaruh negative terhadap Cadangan Devisa di Indonesia. Dan, membandingkan keadaan cadangan devisa sebelum pandemic Covid-19 dengan selama pandemic Covid-19 menunjukkan bahwa Cadangan devisa memiliki nilai rata-rata yang lebih tinggi dibandingkan sebelum pandemic covid-19. Dan Cadangan devisa tidak menentukan apakah suatu negara dapat menghindari pandemic atau tidak. Sekalipun pemerintah memiliki cadangan devisa yang tinggi, krisis dapat terjadi kapan saja. Cadangan devisa dapat bertindak sebagai jaring pengaman keuangan.
Uncontrolled Keywords: Kata Kunci : Cadangan Devisa, Ekspor, Utang Luar Negeri, Nilai Tukar, Inflasi, Suku Bunga, Penanaman Modal Asing (PMA). Keywords: Foreign Exchange, Exports, Foreign Debt, Exchange Rates, Inflation, Interest Rates, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI).
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions
Divisions: 05-Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis
05-Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis > 60201-Program Sarjana Ilmu Ekonomi Pembangunan
Depositing User: Mrs Fatimah Azzahra
Date Deposited: 16 Mar 2023 10:38
Last Modified: 16 Mar 2023 10:38
URI: http://eprints.untirta.ac.id/id/eprint/22361

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