SUMARNA, ENANG (2022) ANALISIS MODEL PREDIKSI KEBANGKRUTAN ALTMAN, ZMIJEWSKI, SPRINGATE DAN GROVER PADA INDUSTRI MANUFAKTUR SUB SEKTOR KIMIA YANG TERDAFTAR DI IDX TAHUN 2013 – 2018. Master thesis, UNIVERSITAS SULTAN AGENG TIRTAYASA.

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Abstract

Di tengah iklim perekonomian yang fluktuatif dan kompetitif, sektor industri memiliki peranan yang sangat penting dalam menopang kehidupan perekonomian suatu negara. Sebagai salah satu upaya dalam memberikan informasi awal terhadap kondisi suatu perusahaan dilakukan perhitungan model prediksi kebangkrutan, informasi ini akan sangat berguna bagi investor (pemilik saham) dan manajemen perusahaan. Penelitian ini mengambil sampel industri manufaktur subsektor kimia yang sangat bergantung pada fluktuasi nilai tukar rupiah terhadap dolar AS yang terlihat dari asal bahan baku impor dan memiliki tujuan menerapkan perhitungan skor kebangkrutan, menguji konsistensi hasil penelitian terdahulu, melakukan uji beda dari model dan menentukan model prediksi terbaik. Melalui metode penelitian analisis komparasi menggunakan uji paired sample t�test diperoleh kesimpulan terdapat perbedaan secara signifikan dari masing – masing model prediksi yang digunakan dan melalui dua pendekatan yakni perbandingan skor perhitungan antara periode penelitian sebelum tahun 2019 dan pada saat tahun 2019 dengan pendekatan berdasarkan opini auditor independen pada laporan keuangan diperoleh hasil model terbaik adalah Model prediksi Zmijewski dan Grover.

Item Type:	Thesis (Master)
Contributors:	Contribution Contributors NIP/NIM Thesis advisor Yazid, Helmi 197012182002121001 Thesis advisor Ichwanudin, Wawan 197510232005011003
Additional Information:	In the middle of a fluctuating and competitive economic climate, the industrial sector plays a very important role in supporting the economic life of a country. As an effort to provide initial information on the condition of a company, the bankruptcy prediction model is calculated. This information will be very useful for investors (shareholders) and company management. This study took a sample of the chemical sub-sector manufacturing industry which is highly dependent on fluctuations in the rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar as seen from the origin of imported raw materials and has the aim of implementing the bankruptcy score calculation, testing the consistency of previous research results, conducting different tests from the model and determining the best prediction model. . Through the comparative analysis research method using the paired sample t-test, it is concluded that there are significant differences from each of the prediction models used and through two approaches, namely the comparison of calculated scores between the research period before 2019 and in 2019 with an approach based on the auditor's opinion. independent of the financial statements obtained the best model results is the prediction model Zmijewski and Grover. Keywords : Company Bankruptcy Prediction Model, Paired Sample t-test, Accuracy Test
Uncontrolled Keywords:	Kata Kunci : Model Prediksi Kebangkrutan Perusahaan, Paired Sample t-test, Uji Akurasi
Subjects:	H Social Sciences > HG Finance
Divisions:	08-Pascasarjana 08-Pascasarjana > 61101-Magister Manajemen
Depositing User:	Perpustakaan Pusat
Date Deposited:	26 Jul 2022 10:10
Last Modified:	26 Jul 2022 10:10
URI:	http://eprints.untirta.ac.id/id/eprint/14776

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